Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.098023 0.116254 0.136669 0.161188 0.189798 0.222087 0.261253
2025-02-09 0.069678 0.093034 0.122154 0.160964 0.211150 0.273660 0.357205
2025-02-16 0.054027 0.079273 0.113536 0.163069 0.232411 0.325527 0.459434
2025-02-23 0.044990 0.071419 0.109900 0.169375 0.258188 0.384908 0.578140
2025-03-02 0.035796 0.061017 0.100137 0.164318 0.265797 0.418516 0.663617
2025-03-09 0.030032 0.054562 0.094814 0.164431 0.280175 0.462651 0.768797
2025-03-16 0.025109 0.048422 0.088737 0.161955 0.289437 0.499142 0.865460
2025-03-23 0.022192 0.045179 0.086862 0.165964 0.309495 0.554689 0.998573
2025-03-30 0.019051 0.040886 0.082347 0.164435 0.319406 0.593868 1.107907
2025-04-06 0.016184 0.036562 0.077019 0.160459 0.324074 0.623988 1.204108
2025-04-13 0.013671 0.032471 0.071444 0.155062 0.325124 0.647293 1.289935
2025-04-20 0.012366 0.030728 0.070306 0.158276 0.343106 0.703632 1.442620
2025-04-27 0.011083 0.028839 0.068654 0.160372 0.359493 0.759445 1.601843
2025-05-04 0.009845 0.026821 0.066412 0.160893 0.372737 0.810643 1.757818
2025-05-11 0.008890 0.025309 0.065062 0.163173 0.389969 0.871653 1.939864
2025-05-18 0.008293 0.024598 0.065470 0.169525 0.416912 0.955545 2.177643
2025-05-25 0.007149 0.022185 0.061342 0.164473 0.417280 0.982752 2.297854
2025-06-01 0.006415 0.020757 0.059448 0.164588 0.429652 1.037322 2.482744
2025-06-08 0.005659 0.019107 0.056699 0.162110 0.435427 1.077606 2.639724
2025-06-15 0.005255 0.018432 0.056458 0.166123 0.457660 1.157742 2.894797
2025-06-22 0.004692 0.017135 0.054275 0.164593 0.465655 1.205275 3.078777
2025-06-29 0.004117 0.015672 0.051366 0.160613 0.466760 1.236358 3.226760
2025-07-06 0.003575 0.014189 0.048134 0.155211 0.463358 1.255980 3.348870